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Drake Equation flaws

Page history last edited by Kaisiris Tallini 1 year, 3 months ago

Drake Equation flaws


The Drake Equation gives us an idea of how many alien "societies" exist, and are detectable.


However, how can all human life on Earth be considered a single "society"?


This is not super-, but actually hyper-Aristotelianism.


Aristotle, who wasn't particularly smart or accurate, only considered a single civis, or a Tallini Third World entity a "society", but in the Drake Equation, it is not even a single genus (Tallini Second World entity) that is considered a "society", but a single species (Tallini First World entity), or technically-speaking, at least two genera (the plural of the Latin term genus).


Is it possible that two highly intelligent and cooperative species can exist on a planet, so that in many instances a real natural society, or a curia, ie Tallini Fifth World entity, may be actually composed of two species or quasi-species?


For example, a curia made up of human shepherds, and their great sheep dogs?


Another example: a curia made up of great shepherds of human beings, and the Gods who love them even more than we love great sheep dogs?


No. The Drake Equation doesn't even entertain the possibility, at least on a true societal level, such as the curia, or Tallini Fifth World entity level.


In fact, the Drake Equation is even more lacking in the logic department than that, since the last two terms of the equation — fc, or the fraction of planets populated by intelligent beings on which an advanced "technical civilisation" arises during the host star’s lifetime; and L, the lifetime of the "technical civilisation" — essentially assume two things: 1) that a civilisation is the only kind of paradigm possible for a single species (at least two paradigms or genera under the accurate, and verified Tallini World Formula model's societal-political perspective); and 2) that the paradigm can only be a "technical civilisation". A "spiritual" country or civis within that otherwise mainly "technical civilisation"? Not possible.


So the basic inaccurate assumptions are two: 1) that societies are only planetary in size; and 2) a true natural society may never include more than a single species or quasi-species.


Moreover, the less basic inaccurate assumption of the Drake Equation is that only the civilisation paradigm is possible.


The funny thing about the latter assumption, is that the L term in the Drake Equation, in turn, assumes that the lifetime of the "technical civilisation" has an expiry date, otherwise that term wouldn't even exist.


How can we even assume that a quasi-species (reality, as shown by the Tallini World Formula) is even "intelligent", if the quasi-species even has an expiry date?


In reality, the Tallini World Formula shows that humanity is not really a single species yet, but only a single genus following the "technical civilisation" paradigm, because only that single paradigm exists, or is allowed to exist, but this also shows that there is a way out of the almost absolute certainty that the quasi-species of Homo sapiens is doomed from the get-go, and our salvation has to be in a paradigm or genus outside of the current "technical civilisation" imperative.


Another paradigm or genus, in other words, must at least be a viable option.


Otherwise, the Homo sapiens genus is not a fully qualified species yet, since it is made up of only a single imperative genus, without additional genera, like a genus which lives outside of Aristotelian zoos; and the Homo sapiens quasi-species is not even destined to have a open-ended existence, because that existence is already close to the expiry date.


MT Kaisiris Tallini




Drake equation (Wikipedia)



Drake Equation



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Beyond the Drake Equation



Estimating survival probability using the terrestrial extinction history for the search for extraterrestrial life




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